Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.036494 0.039382 0.042411 0.045830 0.049587 0.053595 0.058203
2025-04-20 0.031846 0.035927 0.040442 0.045829 0.052104 0.059216 0.067926
2025-04-27 0.029055 0.033893 0.039469 0.046411 0.054880 0.064949 0.077936
2025-05-04 0.026582 0.031837 0.038091 0.046149 0.056356 0.068983 0.085993
2025-05-11 0.024669 0.030208 0.036983 0.045974 0.057738 0.072807 0.093906
2025-05-18 0.023040 0.028762 0.035926 0.045683 0.058821 0.076185 0.101363
2025-05-25 0.021732 0.027601 0.035108 0.045576 0.060047 0.079734 0.109233
2025-06-01 0.020378 0.026273 0.033958 0.044896 0.060376 0.081991 0.115356
2025-06-08 0.019107 0.024968 0.032737 0.044005 0.060298 0.083594 0.120558
2025-06-15 0.018127 0.023993 0.031894 0.043562 0.060785 0.085991 0.127085
2025-06-22 0.017256 0.023115 0.031126 0.043157 0.061267 0.088364 0.133707
2025-06-29 0.016321 0.022094 0.030094 0.042293 0.060979 0.089504 0.138385
2025-07-06 0.015852 0.021717 0.029969 0.042768 0.062774 0.094027 0.149085
2025-07-13 0.015274 0.021153 0.029538 0.042751 0.063789 0.097363 0.158059
2025-07-20 0.014892 0.020853 0.029475 0.043283 0.065692 0.102258 0.170184
2025-07-27 0.014333 0.020262 0.028943 0.043042 0.066309 0.105028 0.178710
2025-08-03 0.013834 0.019737 0.028482 0.042880 0.067034 0.108009 0.187867
2025-08-10 0.013342 0.019202 0.027977 0.042613 0.067549 0.110639 0.196574
2025-08-17 0.012923 0.018757 0.027591 0.042514 0.068336 0.113788 0.206566
2025-08-24 0.012409 0.018144 0.026911 0.041888 0.068159 0.115158 0.213099
2025-08-31 0.011882 0.017492 0.026141 0.041069 0.067584 0.115742 0.218049
2025-09-07 0.011476 0.017013 0.025629 0.040662 0.067718 0.117654 0.225947
2025-09-14 0.011099 0.016568 0.025152 0.040289 0.067887 0.119632 0.234161